Oil is moving sharply higher, trading above $96 a barrel for the first time since February. If crude continues to move higher, this will spark inflation fears and also worries over the fragile economic recovery, which should be a supporting factor for gold.
As long as an environment of negative real interest rates (nominal interest rate less inflation) exists, gold will continue to be supported and see investment demand. We don't see this changing in the foreseeable future.
Gold has been trading in a range since mid-February, with 1617-1620 at the top of the range and 1554-1560 at the bottom. The yellow metal is currently trading in the middle of the range - we await a breakout one way or the other that should be a strong tradeable move.
Today's video for subscribers looks at yesterday's trading in more detail and our strategy for our next trade.